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The researchers followed that up in 2005 with a report looking at 20 programs and again finding clear evidence of positive change for the children enrolled. Their latest report, released in November, expanded that to 115 programs, all of which had undergone rigorous evaluations. The programs ranged from parenting classes to pre kindergarten to the home visiting curriculum used in San Felipe Pueblo. The study, sponsored by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, sought to answer two questions: Do the programs work, and are they worth the investment?By their most basic measure, 102 of the 115 programs improved at least one outcome for children beyond a statistical doubt. That was an 89 percent success rate. But assessments of early childhood programs tend to take a kitchen sink approach. Does the program improve behaviors?What about test scores?Are the children happier?Healthier?More focused?How are their body mass indexes?When the RAND team looked at every child outcome in every study of the 115 programsmore than 3,000 measured outcomes in allthey found that 29 percent showed convincing evidence of improvement. Most of the rest were what statisticians call null, meaning there wasn't enough evidence to say one way or the other. That's a winning percentage given the sheer range of outcomes measured, the researchers saidabout six times higher than random chance alone. It doesn't mean that everything will turn to gold, said study lead author Jill Cannon, a senior policy researcher at RAND. But the evidence base is only growing stronger that if you're a policymaker and you invest in these early childhood programs, it's likely to pay off.


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